chefc
0x023eb784bdecc7a129f9068c856894ffdf094f21
- Realised P&L
- $99.66
- Volume
- $208.6k
- Markets traded
- 85
- Open portfolio
- $1.4k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded85
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.5kat 0.091Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
- +$975.54at 0.102Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
- +$405.82at 0.047Will someone else win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
- +$251.69at 0.007Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$175.00at 0.300Will 'Mickey 17' gross between 16-20m on its opening weekend?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-01 18:54 | Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4 | $54.74 |
| 06-29 19:32 | Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.7 | $38.95 |
| 06-29 16:51 | Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.72 | $28.08 |
| 06-29 16:49 | Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.08 | $6.35 |
| 06-29 16:49 | Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.101 | $20.73 |
| 06-16 21:46 | Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0493711152 | $1.08 |
| 06-16 21:45 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? | BUY | 0.06 | $6.00 |
| 06-02 23:59 | Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open? | BUY | 0.376 | $18.80 |
| 06-02 20:06 | Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.263 | $19.80 |
| 05-28 16:30 | Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.23 | $18.26 |
| 05-28 16:23 | Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.291 | $14.55 |
| 05-27 17:54 | Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.67 | $4.69 |
| 05-27 17:53 | Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.38 | $30.40 |
| 05-27 13:57 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | BUY | 0.33 | $330.00 |
| 05-27 13:50 | Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.02 | $297.10 |