PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

rezsidemon

0x022bbdd5190c2e36dbb4b5f5805a3cf14318c363

Realised P&L
$143.75
Volume
$3.6k
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$431.09

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.0%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration93.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Péter Bárándy be the next President of Hungary? · No0.7930.915$231.12+$30.89
Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? · Yes0.2690.190$95.00$39.49
Will Ágnes Forsthoffer be the next President of Hungary? · Yes0.0710.105$52.05+$16.69
Will Ignác Romsics be the next President of Hungary? · Yes0.0230.055$24.78+$14.36
Will Adrienn Laczó be the next President of Hungary? · No0.6900.645$14.27$1.00
Will Botond Fülöp be the next President of Hungary? · No0.6390.615$13.76$0.54

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 11:07Will Ágnes Forsthoffer be the next President of Hungary?BUY0.105$6.30
08-04 11:07Will Ágnes Forsthoffer be the next President of Hungary?BUY0.109$4.25
08-04 11:04Will Tamás Fabiny be the next President of Hungary?SELL0.02$1.53
08-04 10:51Will Ágnes Forsthoffer be the next President of Hungary?BUY0.105$2.10
08-04 10:51Will Péter Bárándy be the next President of Hungary?SELL0.92$19.32
08-04 10:47Will Ágnes Forsthoffer be the next President of Hungary?BUY0.109$2.73
08-04 09:31Will Tamás Fabiny be the next President of Hungary?BUY0.013$0.39
08-04 09:25Will Tamás Fabiny be the next President of Hungary?BUY0.009$0.42
08-03 17:39Will Botond Fülöp be the next President of Hungary?BUY0.65$6.50
08-02 16:59Will Adrienn Laczó be the next President of Hungary?BUY0.64$25.60
08-02 14:34Will Ágnes Forsthoffer be the next President of Hungary?BUY0.045$1.80
08-01 15:55Will Ignác Romsics be the next President of Hungary?BUY0.0325555556$1.47
08-01 09:59Will Ágnes Forsthoffer be the next President of Hungary?BUY0.06$13.32
08-01 09:24Will Ágnes Forsthoffer be the next President of Hungary?BUY0.023834753$1.40
07-31 16:12Will Péter Bárándy be the next President of Hungary?BUY0.7912777778$142.43