rezsidemon
0x022bbdd5190c2e36dbb4b5f5805a3cf14318c363
- Realised P&L
- $143.75
- Volume
- $3.6k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $431.09
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration93.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Péter Bárándy be the next President of Hungary? · No | 0.793 | 0.915 | $231.12 | +$30.89 |
| Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? · Yes | 0.269 | 0.190 | $95.00 | −$39.49 |
| Will Ágnes Forsthoffer be the next President of Hungary? · Yes | 0.071 | 0.105 | $52.05 | +$16.69 |
| Will Ignác Romsics be the next President of Hungary? · Yes | 0.023 | 0.055 | $24.78 | +$14.36 |
| Will Adrienn Laczó be the next President of Hungary? · No | 0.690 | 0.645 | $14.27 | −$1.00 |
| Will Botond Fülöp be the next President of Hungary? · No | 0.639 | 0.615 | $13.76 | −$0.54 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$138.00at 0.540Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
- +$8.60at 0.570Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
- +$0.72at 0.011Will Tamás Fabiny be the next President of Hungary?
- +$-1.27at 0.440Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
- +$-24.49at 0.207Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 11:07 | Will Ágnes Forsthoffer be the next President of Hungary? | BUY | 0.105 | $6.30 |
| 08-04 11:07 | Will Ágnes Forsthoffer be the next President of Hungary? | BUY | 0.109 | $4.25 |
| 08-04 11:04 | Will Tamás Fabiny be the next President of Hungary? | SELL | 0.02 | $1.53 |
| 08-04 10:51 | Will Ágnes Forsthoffer be the next President of Hungary? | BUY | 0.105 | $2.10 |
| 08-04 10:51 | Will Péter Bárándy be the next President of Hungary? | SELL | 0.92 | $19.32 |
| 08-04 10:47 | Will Ágnes Forsthoffer be the next President of Hungary? | BUY | 0.109 | $2.73 |
| 08-04 09:31 | Will Tamás Fabiny be the next President of Hungary? | BUY | 0.013 | $0.39 |
| 08-04 09:25 | Will Tamás Fabiny be the next President of Hungary? | BUY | 0.009 | $0.42 |
| 08-03 17:39 | Will Botond Fülöp be the next President of Hungary? | BUY | 0.65 | $6.50 |
| 08-02 16:59 | Will Adrienn Laczó be the next President of Hungary? | BUY | 0.64 | $25.60 |
| 08-02 14:34 | Will Ágnes Forsthoffer be the next President of Hungary? | BUY | 0.045 | $1.80 |
| 08-01 15:55 | Will Ignác Romsics be the next President of Hungary? | BUY | 0.0325555556 | $1.47 |
| 08-01 09:59 | Will Ágnes Forsthoffer be the next President of Hungary? | BUY | 0.06 | $13.32 |
| 08-01 09:24 | Will Ágnes Forsthoffer be the next President of Hungary? | BUY | 0.023834753 | $1.40 |
| 07-31 16:12 | Will Péter Bárándy be the next President of Hungary? | BUY | 0.7912777778 | $142.43 |