0x019973C485C4BF3D1001c713aE90CB10f2935FFb-1776635179061
0x019973c485c4bf3d1001c713ae90cb10f2935ffb
- Realised P&L
- $-14.73
- Volume
- $75.4k
- Markets traded
- 95
- Open portfolio
- $2.42
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded95
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$281.94at 0.066Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?
- +$192.79at 0.535Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?
- +$189.73at 0.665Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?
- +$157.34at 0.310Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
- +$126.72at 0.160Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-10 16:40 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.0892841747 | $2.30 |
| 06-29 01:21 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.649999935 | $3.00 |
| 06-28 18:20 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026? | SELL | 0.22 | $2.75 |
| 06-28 15:16 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.5899999712 | $8.00 |
| 06-28 15:16 | Will the Democratic Party win the FL-01 House seat? | SELL | 0.0708 | $8.85 |
| 06-28 12:08 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $4.00 |
| 06-28 12:08 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $5.00 |
| 06-25 11:18 | Will the Democratic Party win the FL-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.08 | $10.00 |
| 06-25 11:17 | Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30? | SELL | 0.0332259208 | $18.47 |
| 06-25 11:12 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999833 | $10.00 |
| 06-25 11:08 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | BUY | 0.3899999902 | $20.00 |
| 06-24 15:55 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $31.52 |
| 06-23 22:40 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.0163932764 | $2.00 |
| 06-23 22:40 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026? | SELL | 0.616 | $2.40 |
| 06-23 22:39 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.6187178444 | $21.93 |