PolyBot

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Traders

0x00eb262ad93b5903162c7dad7a4472cabb5a313c

Realised P&L
$1.5k
Volume
$27.6k
Markets traded
59
Open portfolio
$0.49

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar5.4%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded59
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration82.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on August 4? · Yes0.0400.005$0.40$2.80
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on August 4? · Yes0.1110.001$0.09$19.39
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 9? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$22.05
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on July 10? · Yes0.0930.000$0.00$25.31
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 12? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$59.98
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on July 18? · Yes0.0870.000$0.00$30.46
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on July 9? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00$0.81
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on July 17? · Yes0.0270.000$0.00$9.56
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on July 16? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$14.78
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on July 22? · Yes0.0910.000$0.00$31.65
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 10? · Yes0.1430.000$0.00$21.47
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 17? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00$12.57
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 11? · Yes0.0550.000$0.00$16.50
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C or higher on July 8? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$2.23
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on July 10? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$0.94

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 18:39Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on August 4?BUY0.04$1.20
08-04 14:10Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on August 4?BUY0.12$2.40
08-02 19:24Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C or higher on August 2?BUY0.044500135$1.65
07-31 22:18Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on July 31?SELL0.99$17.31
07-31 20:58Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on July 31?SELL0.189$0.95
07-31 20:57Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on July 31?SELL0.193694$16.46
07-31 20:54Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on July 31?SELL0.2$1.60
07-31 20:15Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on July 31?SELL0.0599885329$23.65
07-25 12:41Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C or below on July 25?SELL0.0574030247$10.17
07-25 10:54Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C or below on July 25?BUY0.015$0.10
07-24 20:42Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on July 25?BUY0.0797496333$23.92
07-24 20:42Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on July 25?BUY0.1349427339$18.14
07-22 07:52Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 22?SELL0.99$208.45
07-21 23:09Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on July 22?SELL0.0886789314$30.71
07-21 22:37Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on July 22?BUY0.0811991458$6.08