0x00a8b23902f41d0bd8a2d864fbc3b7fdeb043376
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $11.4k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $9.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-11.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds · Athletics | 0.440 | 0.455 | $9.15 | +$0.30 |
| Bruins vs. Islanders · Islanders | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$523.92 |
| Hurricanes vs. Sabres · Hurricanes | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$352.80 |
| Bruins vs. Sharks · Bruins | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$249.10 |
| Canadiens vs. Hurricanes · Canadiens | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.72 |
| Flyers vs. Lightning · Flyers | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$136.50 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on February 8? · Down | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.50 |
| Spurs vs. Trail Blazers · Trail Blazers | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$218.40 |
| Grizzlies vs. Pelicans · Pelicans | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$310.80 |
| Spurs vs. Suns · Spurs | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$165.60 |
| Avalanche vs. Blackhawks · Blackhawks | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$84.00 |
| Blue Jackets vs. Capitals · Blue Jackets | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$213.20 |
| Blue Jackets vs. Red Wings · Blue Jackets | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$202.50 |
| Rangers vs. Bruins · Bruins | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$331.20 |
| Knicks vs. Magic · Knicks | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$132.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$380.00at 0.500Senators vs. Blues
- +$308.00at 0.450Wild vs. Jets
- +$252.00at 0.400Stars vs. Flames
- +$252.00at 0.550Red Wings vs. Devils
- +$230.40at 0.360Pistons vs. Celtics
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-29 03:46 | San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs | BUY | 0.42 | $7.56 |
| 02-07 06:10 | Ethereum Up or Down on February 8? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.50 |
| 12-23 04:32 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 26? | BUY | 0.46 | $4.60 |
| 11-27 13:18 | Senators vs. Blues | BUY | 0.5 | $380.00 |
| 11-27 12:43 | Rangers vs. Bruins | BUY | 0.46 | $331.20 |
| 11-25 16:35 | Bruins vs. Islanders | BUY | 0.59 | $523.92 |
| 11-25 16:03 | Blues vs. Devils | BUY | 0.56 | $128.80 |
| 11-25 15:29 | Rockets vs. Warriors | BUY | 0.48 | $220.80 |
| 11-25 14:13 | Spurs vs. Trail Blazers | BUY | 0.52 | $218.40 |
| 11-25 13:17 | Grizzlies vs. Pelicans | BUY | 0.42 | $310.80 |
| 11-25 12:32 | Pistons vs. Celtics | BUY | 0.36 | $129.60 |
| 11-24 12:08 | Magic vs. 76ers | BUY | 0.5 | $200.00 |
| 11-23 11:46 | Blue Jackets vs. Capitals | BUY | 0.41 | $213.20 |
| 11-23 09:29 | Red Wings vs. Devils | BUY | 0.55 | $275.00 |
| 11-23 08:32 | Flyers vs. Lightning | BUY | 0.35 | $136.50 |