xpmx
0x008a18a576eb1da1b4bca995082a511098a574ff
- Realised P&L
- $-3.5k
- Volume
- $1.80M
- Markets traded
- 20,078
- Open portfolio
- $123.25
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded20,078
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration7.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration88.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down on August 5? · Up | 0.470 | 0.595 | $112.26 | +$23.58 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET · Up | 0.460 | 0.740 | $14.22 | +$5.38 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.4kat 0.648Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
- +$1.2kat 0.673US government shutdown in 2025?
- +$849.75at 0.404BNB Up or Down - July 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
- +$800.00at 0.429Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
- +$800.00at 0.429Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29 07:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 3AM ET | BUY | 0.46 | $9.20 |
| 07-29 06:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 3AM ET | BUY | 0.46 | $50.60 |
| 07-21 06:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET | BUY | 0.4485604762 | $99.46 |
| 07-15 14:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 16? | BUY | 0.47 | $94.00 |
| 07-15 09:53 | Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Lorenzo Sonego | BUY | 0.1796855496 | $200.00 |
| 07-15 09:52 | Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Lorenzo Sonego | BUY | 0.16 | $10.00 |
| 07-15 09:48 | Iasi Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Alina Charaeva | BUY | 0.6 | $100.00 |
| 07-15 09:47 | Iasi Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Alina Charaeva | BUY | 0.6 | $120.00 |
| 07-15 09:33 | Swiss Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Clement Tabur | BUY | 0.67 | $469.00 |
| 07-15 09:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET | BUY | 0.4987938964 | $250.00 |
| 07-15 09:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET | BUY | 0.2037523024 | $250.00 |
| 07-15 09:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET | BUY | 0.3095561139 | $34.87 |
| 07-15 09:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET | BUY | 0.2820572425 | $215.13 |
| 07-15 09:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET | BUY | 0.3118779497 | $250.00 |
| 07-15 09:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET | BUY | 0.3003183374 | $250.00 |