donky
0x007b44a74a8d915a4cd7cff5c07ce881e4d9adc6
- Realised P&L
- $1.6k
- Volume
- $2.97M
- Markets traded
- 545
- Open portfolio
- $1.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded545
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.7kat 0.180Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$6.5kat 0.110Will the Pacers beat the Cavaliers 4-1?
- +$5.1kat 0.383Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?
- +$3.2kat 0.564Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?
- +$2.6kat 0.327Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 23:39 | Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.134 | $268.00 |
| 08-03 23:39 | Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 AL Central title? | BUY | 0.3387631938 | $235.64 |
| 08-03 23:38 | Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.06 | $257.14 |
| 07-26 23:36 | Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.1434703882 | $181.00 |
| 07-26 23:33 | Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.999 | $576.76 |
| 07-24 20:22 | Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.1899999994 | $200.00 |
| 07-24 20:21 | Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.036 | $192.92 |
| 07-24 20:21 | Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.1240386278 | $340.00 |
| 07-06 20:22 | Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.079522828 | $426.16 |
| 07-06 20:22 | Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.1646978113 | $451.57 |
| 07-04 03:12 | Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.08 | $65.60 |
| 07-04 03:09 | Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.0699999998 | $300.00 |
| 07-04 03:08 | Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.1823600264 | $500.00 |
| 07-04 03:05 | Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.1749394248 | $101.00 |
| 07-04 03:04 | Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.4194628395 | $474.00 |