PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

donky

0x007b44a74a8d915a4cd7cff5c07ce881e4d9adc6

Realised P&L
$1.6k
Volume
$2.97M
Markets traded
545
Open portfolio
$1.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded545
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? · Yes0.4860.660$621.75+$163.68
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.1300.136$271.36+$10.69
Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 AL Central title? · Yes0.3390.355$246.93+$11.29
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.1900.205$215.79+$15.79
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0800.075$61.50$4.10
Will Gavin Williams win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? · Yes0.0400.003$1.15$14.21
Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 American League Championship Series? · Yes0.0500.056$1.13+$0.12
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-2 be the exact series outcome? · Yes0.3690.000$0.00$200.00
Will Buffalo beat Los Angeles R in Super Bowl LX? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$149.52
Will the fight end in the Round 2? · Yes0.2910.000$0.00$20.00
Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Receiving Yards O/U 90.5 · Over0.5490.000$0.00$140.00
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026? · Yes0.0950.000$0.00$100.00
Will Los Angeles R beat Buffalo in Super Bowl LX? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$99.00
Spread: Spurs (-2.5) · Thunder0.1700.000$0.00$150.00
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be orange? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 23:39Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?SELL0.134$268.00
08-03 23:39Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 AL Central title?BUY0.3387631938$235.64
08-03 23:38Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?SELL0.06$257.14
07-26 23:36Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?BUY0.1434703882$181.00
07-26 23:33Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?SELL0.999$576.76
07-24 20:22Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?BUY0.1899999994$200.00
07-24 20:21Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals?SELL0.036$192.92
07-24 20:21Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?BUY0.1240386278$340.00
07-06 20:22Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals?BUY0.079522828$426.16
07-06 20:22Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?SELL0.1646978113$451.57
07-04 03:12Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.08$65.60
07-04 03:09Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.0699999998$300.00
07-04 03:08Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.1823600264$500.00
07-04 03:05Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?BUY0.1749394248$101.00
07-04 03:04Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?BUY0.4194628395$474.00
Trader donky · PolyBot